Vol 8, No 4

Historical Dataset Reconstruction and a Prediction Method of Solar 10.7cm Radio Flux

Juan Zhao, Yan-Ben Han


Abstract We reconstruct the developing history of solar 10.7 cm radio flux (F10.7) since 1848, based on the yearly sunspot number and the variations. A relationship between the maximum and the linear regression slope of the first 3 years starting from minimum of the solar cycle is considered. We put forward a method of predicting the maximum of F10.7 by means of the slope-maximum relationship. Running tests for cycles 19 to 23 indicate that the method can properly predict the peak of F10.7.



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